Bauer, Leo, and Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham. “The Nonviolent Legacies of Rebel Group Origins.” 2026. Journal of Peace Research, 63(3): 309–320. doi:10.1093/jopres/xjaf024.
Cunningham, David E., Leo Bauer, Sloan Lansdale, and Megan Lloyd. “Under What Conditions Does Preventive Mediation Occur in Self-Determination Disputes?” 2026. Journal of Peace Research, online first. doi:10.1093/jopres/xjaf033.
Gelvez, Juan David, and Leo Bauer. “Climate Disasters, Armed Conflict, and Forced Displacement: A 23-Year Spatial Analysis in Colombia.” 2025. Social Science Quarterly, 106(4): 1–18. doi:10.1111/ssqu.70053.
McWeeney, Margaret, Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham, and Leo Bauer. “Rebel Actors and Legitimacy Building.” 2023. International Politics, 62: 269–290. doi:10.1057/s41311-023-00493-1.
Czymara, Christian S., and Leo Bauer. “Discursive Shifts in the German Right-Wing Newspaper Junge Freiheit 1997–2019: A Computational Approach.” 2023. German Politics, 34(1): 128–155. doi:10.1080/09644008.2023.2231353.
“Rebel-Civilian Social Ties and Their Effects on Violence Against Civilians in Civil War.” 2026. Early draft.
“Innovating the Measurement of Violence Against Civilians in Civil War: Evidence on Territorial Control.” 2026. Working paper.
“Presenting the Updated Non-State Actor Dataset.” With David Cunningham, Olivia Bauer, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch and Idean Salehyan. 2026. Working paper.
“Explaining Informant Recruitment Tactics by Coercive Institutions in Autocracies.” 2025. Early draft.
“Media Manipulation Strategies During Protest in Autocracies: Evidence from the German Democratic Republic.” 2025. Working paper.