Research

I currently have five peer-reviewed publications and multiple works in progress.

Below there is also information on my current and past research and data collection projects. Some of them are linked to GitHub repositories with tutorials and code.

Peer-Reviewed Publications

  1. Cunningham, David E., Leo Bauer, Sloan Lansdale, and Megan Lloyd. “Under What Conditions Does Preventive Mediation Occur in Self-Determination Disputes?” 2025. Journal of Peace Research, forthcoming.

  2. Bauer, Leo, and Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham. “The Nonviolent Legacies of Rebel Group Origins.” 2025. Journal of Peace Research, forthcoming. Paper.

  3. Gelvez, Juan David, and Leo Bauer. “Climate Disasters, Armed Conflict, and Forced Displacement: A 23-Year Spatial Analysis in Colombia.” 2025. Social Science Quarterly, online first: 1–18. doi:10.1111/ssqu.70053.

  4. McWeeney, Margaret, Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham, and Leo Bauer. “Rebel Actors and Legitimacy Building.” 2023. International Politics, 62: 269–290. doi:10.1057/s41311-023-00493-1.

  5. Czymara, Christian S., and Leo Bauer. “Discursive Shifts in the German Right-Wing Newspaper Junge Freiheit 1997–2019: A Computational Approach.” 2023. German Politics, 34(1): 128–155. doi:10.1080/09644008.2023.2231353.

Works in Progress

  1. “The Non-State Actors in Armed Conflict Dataset Update.” With David Cunningham and Olivia Bauer. 2025. Early draft.

  2. “Explaining Informant Recruitment Tactics by Coercive Institutions in Autocracies.” 2025. Early draft.

  3. “Media Manipulation Strategies During Protest in Autocracies: Evidence from the German Democratic Republic.” 2025. Working paper.

Current Projects

Past Projects


2025 Leo Bauer.